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Over the past few years, people have been talking about the possibility of political changes in Cuba. When do you think that major political changes are likely to occur in Cuba? Would you say within one year, in two to five years, in six to ten years, over ten years, that change is already occurring, or never?

For each question the univariate tabulation is shown first, followed by crosstabulations with age, year left Cuba, born in or outside of Cuba, and registered voter status.

Each tabulation is repeated twice, once with and once without don't know, refuse to answer, and not asked (skipped). In some tables those are indicated by abbreviations .d, .n, and . respectively.



---------------------------------------------
      when political change Cuba |     column
---------------------------------+-----------
              now or within 1 yr |       15.4
                         2-5 yrs |       13.0
                     in 6-10 yrs |       11.5
                     over 10 yrs |       19.1
                           never |       41.1
                                 | 
                           Total |      100.0
---------------------------------------------
  Key:  column    =  column percentage



---------------------------------------------
      when political change Cuba |     column
---------------------------------+-----------
              now or within 1 yr |       13.6
                         2-5 yrs |       11.6
                     in 6-10 yrs |       10.2
                     over 10 yrs |       16.9
                           never |       36.5
                      don't know |        9.9
                     no response |        1.4
                                 | 
                           Total |      100.0
---------------------------------------------
  Key:  column    =  column percentage



-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               four age categories               
      when political change Cuba |    18-39     40-59     60-75  76 & old     Total
---------------------------------+-------------------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |     18.2      14.9      16.6       8.7      15.4
                         2-5 yrs |     22.2      10.5      10.1       5.3      13.0
                     in 6-10 yrs |     13.6      15.5       5.2       6.4      11.5
                     over 10 yrs |     20.4      21.6      17.5      12.3      19.2
                           never |     25.7      37.4      50.5      67.3      40.9
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(12)        =   84.3841
    Design-based  F(10.45, 9037.42)=    6.2810    P = 0.0000



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |                    four age categories                    
      when political change Cuba |    18-39     40-59     60-75  76 & old         .     Total
---------------------------------+-----------------------------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |     16.4      13.4      14.9       7.0      11.6      13.6
                         2-5 yrs |     20.0       9.4       9.1       4.3      11.6      11.6
                     in 6-10 yrs |     12.2      13.9       4.7       5.2      11.6      10.2
                     over 10 yrs |     18.4      19.4      15.7       9.9      11.8      16.9
                           never |     23.2      33.7      45.3      54.2      49.0      36.5
                      don't know |      7.5       9.0      10.0      17.4       4.5       9.9
                     no response |      2.3       1.1       0.3       2.0       0.0       1.4
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(24)        =   99.2784
    Design-based  F(20.72, 20700.75)=    3.8975   P = 0.0000



-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |             year left Cuba            
      when political change Cuba | Pre-1980  1980-199  1995-201     Total
---------------------------------+---------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |     10.7      14.2      21.7      16.2
                         2-5 yrs |      8.3      10.0      11.5      10.1
                     in 6-10 yrs |      6.6      10.5      10.7       9.2
                     over 10 yrs |     17.0      15.8      20.9      18.4
                           never |     57.4      49.4      35.2      46.1
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(8)         =   34.3201
    Design-based  F(7.76, 5929.27)=    3.6785     P = 0.0003



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |                       year left Cuba                      
      when political change Cuba | Pre-1980  1980-199  1995-201         .    refuse     Total
---------------------------------+-----------------------------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |      9.5      12.7      18.7       9.9      48.4      13.6
                         2-5 yrs |      7.4       8.9       9.9      23.7      25.2      11.6
                     in 6-10 yrs |      5.8       9.4       9.2      20.1       0.0      10.2
                     over 10 yrs |     15.0      14.2      17.9      21.1       0.0      16.9
                           never |     50.9      44.3      30.3      18.8      26.4      36.5
                      don't know |     10.7      10.0      11.1       6.4       0.0       9.9
                     no response |      0.7       0.5       3.0       0.0       0.0       1.4
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(24)        =  126.8868
    Design-based  F(21.92, 21901.97)=    4.5102   P = 0.0000



---------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |         born in Cuba        
      when political change Cuba | not born   born in     Total
---------------------------------+-----------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |     10.3      16.5      15.4
                         2-5 yrs |     25.7      10.2      13.1
                     in 6-10 yrs |     20.7       9.2      11.3
                     over 10 yrs |     22.9      18.3      19.1
                           never |     20.4      45.9      41.2
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0
---------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(4)         =   65.7320
    Design-based  F(3.99, 3506.79)=   10.1231     P = 0.0000



-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |              born in Cuba             
      when political change Cuba | not born   born in    refuse     Total
---------------------------------+---------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |      9.7      14.5      26.4      13.6
                         2-5 yrs |     24.0       8.9       0.0      11.6
                     in 6-10 yrs |     19.4       8.0      73.6      10.2
                     over 10 yrs |     21.4      16.0       0.0      16.9
                           never |     19.1      40.3       0.0      36.5
                      don't know |      6.5      10.6       0.0       9.9
                     no response |      0.0       1.7       0.0       1.4
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(12)        =   86.1606
    Design-based  F(11.17, 11154.89)=    5.3567   P = 0.0000



------------------------------------------------------
                                 | Are you registered 
                                 |      to vote?      
      when political change Cuba |   Yes     No  Total
---------------------------------+--------------------
              now or within 1 yr |  11.9   27.7   13.0
                         2-5 yrs |  14.0   12.8   13.9
                     in 6-10 yrs |  12.3    7.0   11.9
                     over 10 yrs |  20.1   12.6   19.6
                           never |  41.7   39.9   41.5
                                 | 
                           Total | 100.0  100.0  100.0
------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(4)         =   11.4057
    Design-based  F(3.86, 2834.52)=    1.9544     P = 0.1014



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |                Are you registered to vote?                
      when political change Cuba |      Yes        No         .  don't kn  no respo     Total
---------------------------------+-----------------------------------------------------------
              now or within 1 yr |     10.7      26.8      21.2       0.0       0.0      13.6
                         2-5 yrs |     12.6      12.4       7.7       0.0       0.0      11.6
                     in 6-10 yrs |     11.0       6.7       8.0       0.0       0.0      10.2
                     over 10 yrs |     18.1      12.2      12.9     100.0       0.0      16.9
                           never |     37.5      38.6      32.4       0.0     100.0      36.5
                      don't know |      8.7       3.2      16.0       0.0       0.0       9.9
                     no response |      1.4       0.0       1.7       0.0       0.0       1.4
                                 | 
                           Total |    100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0     100.0
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Key:  column percentage

  Pearson:
    Uncorrected   chi2(24)        =   52.7860
    Design-based  F(18.50, 18484.83)=    1.9364   P = 0.0092

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